In the sense that open always wins, that may be. But by then Apple will have moved on to the next thing. Open only wins when the underlying service is a commodity for which improvements (other than price) will not be valued.

In my way of speaking, openness is semantically equivalent to “modular” and that is in contrast to “integrated”. Integrated is the only way to develop systems when they are not good enough. Modular is the only way to cheapen systems when they are more than good enough. Figure out where the technology is on the “good enough” trajectory and pick the winners and losers by the level of integration. It’s that simple.

On the other point of device vendors backing a standard. That is such a red herring. There were hundreds of companies backing Windows Mobile for half a decade. At it made all the promises that Android is making now (non-phone devices, millions of developers, source code, Intel backing, contractors ready to build to order, you name it.) The freetard counter to this is (I’m guessing) that Microsoft could not execute! Check it out: Google hired swathes of WinMo people into their mobile efforts. It’s the same crowd. Is execution some sort of magic pixie dust only available to Google?